In a featherweight bout on the main card, Andre Fili and Bryce Mitchell meet at UFC on ESPN+ 39 Saturday at the UFC’s APEX facility in Las Vegas. The early prelims kick off at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 7 p.m. ET, also on ESPN+.
Fili (21-7) checks into the octagon standing one inch taller than his counterpart, while he has a four-inch reach advantage. He also has a 3.90 significant strikes landed per minute to just 2.05 for Mitchell (13-1), although the latter is much better with a 59.76 to 36.38 significant strikes-accuracy percentage. Both fighters look for takedowns, too, with Fili edging Mitchell 2.71 to 2.13 in takedown average, but Mitchell is much more efficient with a 2.74 submission average to just 0.18 for Fili.
Mitchell is 3-0 since making his UFC debut, including an impressive unanimous-decision win over Charles Rosa at UFC 249 last time out. Two of his three fights at the UFC level, and four of his past six pro fights overall have ended up going the distance. If he is able to get it to the canvas, he is 9-1 via submission in his 14 career professional bouts, and the rear-naked choke and triangle choke are his specialties.
- Let’s take a look at the UFC odds at BookMaker.eu and break down your best betting options. Live UFC betting is also available between rounds as well. Main Event, Heavyweight Francis Ngannou -280 vs. Junior Dos Santos +214.
- .Odds taken 04/21/19. This UFC on ESPN 3 tilt isn’t likely to go to the judges if both fighters’ respective track records are any indicator. Both fighters have a combined 42 wins with 37 finishes between them.
UFC on ESPN 3: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos odds & betting lines. UFC/MMA odds comparison service. Compare the latest UFC/MMA fight odds and betting lines from the top online sportsbooks. The Octagon heads to Minneapolis, Minnesota on Saturday, June 29th for UFC on ESPN 3, or UFC Minneapolis. In the main event, heavyweights collide as Francis Ngannou takes on Junior dos Santos.
The veteran Fili bounced back from a disappointing unanimous-decision loss to Sodiq Yusuff at UFC 246, posting a split-decision win over Charles Jourdain on June 13 in his most recent outing. He has won three of his past four bouts, and eight of his past nine fights have ended up being decided by the judges’ cards.
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Andre Fili vs. Bryce Mitchell betting odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:28 a.m. ET.
MITCHELL (-152) is a solid play straight up on the 2-way fight result line, as he won’t cost you a ton. He has been strong since arriving at the UFC level, and “Thug Nasty” will be especially pumped wearing his camo shorts into the octagon. As long as he can avoid the big punch from Fili (+125), who has won 43 percent of his pro fights by knockout, Mitchell will be in good shape.
Getting more specific, playing MITCHELL BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (+187) pays well. He has registered four total takedowns in his past two fights, and he’ll look to get Fili off his feet as soon as possible. Mitchell will try to velcro himself to Fili and control on the ground as much as possible. And since you’re going with Mitchell inside the distance, take UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (+117) for a nice value.
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UFC returns to ESPN for its third official card, which will take place at the Target Center in Minneapolis Saturday night. The card is headlined by a clash of heavyweight titans in Junior Dos Santos and Francis Ngannou.

Here is a look at the odds, as we break down some of the key fights and discuss who will claim victory come fight night.
Main Event: Junior Dos Santos (+205) vs. Francis Ngannou (-265)

Boy oh, boy, is this fight set to be a barnburner. Dos Santos is a true heavyweight vet, looking to make one last run to the title to reclaim his UFC gold. On the other hand, Ngannou looks to continue to cement himself as a No. 1 contender and also put himself back in the title picture.
This fight is close in terms of the lines, and for good reasons. Although Ngannou has insane power that can put any man to sleep in a matter of seconds, I think there are certainly some question marks still surrounding him, considering his questionable cardio and lackluster ground-game.

Despite this, he can honestly win any fight just by landing one punch, and that is the terrifying truth. “The Predator” is riding a two-fight win streak, both coming via first-round TKO/KO against Curtis Blaydes and Cain Velasquez. After suffering two losses in a row, Ngannou has seemed to return to his form that terrorizes the entire heavyweight division.
For Dos Santos, he is currently riding a three-fight win streak, holding wins over Blagoy Ivanov, Tai Tuisava, and, most recently, Derrick Lewis. As soon as we think Dos Santos is done and his career is nearing the end, he surprises and goes on a tear, as he has just done.
It’s quite the interesting matchup as Dos Santos is a tough veteran who still carries massive power, with Ngannou being one of the most feared punchers of all time but also having some big question marks around his true skill level.
Even with those question marks though, I think Ngannou is really settling into MMA, and I think Dos Santos will be hit early and not survive the onslaught that is “The Predator.”
Official pick: Francis Ngannou defeats Junior Dos Santos via KO Round 1
Co-Main Event: Jussier Formiga (+143) vs. Joseph Benavidez (-180)
In the co-main event of the evening, we get a flyweight bout that will most likely produce the next title challenger against current champ, Henry Cejudo, in the near future.
This fight looks quite close on paper. Benavidez is riding a two-fight winning streak against Dustin Ortiz and Alex Perez. For Formiga, he is on a big four-fight win streak, beating Yuta Sasaki, Ben Nguyen, Sergio Pettis, and Deiveson Figueiredo.
Both guys are pretty well-rounded in their games, but I’d say that Benavidez certainly has the striking advantage. Formiga is super dangerous on the ground, but my main concern is that Benavidez will be able to keep the fight standing throughout the three rounds.
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In a five-round fight, I like Formiga much more, but since it is only three, I think Benavidez will be able to outscore and outland the Brazilian native for most of the fight, earning a close victory after a three-round battle.
Official Pick: Joseph Benavidez defeats Jussier Formiga via Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Other Fight Predictions
* Demian Maia (-200) vs. Anthony Rocco Martin (+158) Winner: Demian Maia via submission Round 2.
* Drew Dober (-380) vs. Marco Polo Reyes (+280) Winner: Drew Dober via Unanimous Decision.
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* Alonzo Menifield (-325) vs. Paul Craig (+240) Winner: Alonzo Menifield via KO Round 2.
